Ozone layer under attack again says new study

Ozone layer under attack again...
While the hole in the ozone layer has been shrinking since 2000, this image shows its progression from 1979 to 2014
While the hole in the ozone layer has been shrinking since 2000, this image shows its progression from 1979 to 2014
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While the hole in the ozone layer has been shrinking since 2000, this image shows its progression from 1979 to 2014
While the hole in the ozone layer has been shrinking since 2000, this image shows its progression from 1979 to 2014

It is expected to prevent 280 million cases of skin cancer, approximately 1.6 million skin cancer deaths, and more than 45 million cases of cataracts in the United States alone. Without it, the sun would burn skin in minutes and our climate would be so hot that there would be a marked increase in natural disasters. Yet the strides made by the Montreal Protocol in repairing our ozone layer may be undone thanks to dangerous chemicals that are making their way into the upper atmosphere, says a new study from the European Geosciences Union (EGU).

This year marks the 30th anniversary of the Montreal Protocol, an international agreement that limited the use of chemicals, like chlorofluorocarbons, that were found to deplete the ozone layer, a protective area of the Earth's stratosphere that shields us from most of the sun's UV radiation. By all accounts, the accord has been successful and our ozone layer is on the mend. Yet the new study warns that dangerous chemicals are being swept into the upper atmosphere where they may undo some of the good that has come from the Protocol.

The researchers involved in the study collected air samples on the ground in Taiwan and Malaysia between 2012 and 2014 and had them analyzed in the UK. They also looked at data that was collected by commercial aircraft between the same years. They found alarming levels of ozone-depleting chemicals, particularly one substance known as dichloromethane, which has many industrial uses including the creation of pharmaceutical drugs and fumigating crops.

At the time of the original Montreal Protocol in 1987, such chemicals were thought to not have an impact on the ozone layer as they are too short-lived to make it very high in our atmosphere. The new research proves that this was an incorrect assumption. It turns out that pockets of cold air in Asia can push the chemicals into tropical areas where rapidly rising warm air can carry them to the stratosphere. In fact, previous work from the EGU suggested that pollution could travel about 1,000 km per day (621 mi), making its way across the South China Sea and to the equator in just a few days.

"We found that elevated concentrations of these same chemicals were present at altitudes of 12 km over tropical regions, many thousands of kilometres away from their likely source, and in a region where air is known to be transferred into the stratosphere," said team leader David Oram from the University of East Anglia.

In fact, the researchers found that while dichloromethane decreased in our atmosphere during the 1990's and early 2000's, it has now become 60 percent more plentiful. In addition to the dichloromethane, the researchers also found large amounts of 1,2-dichloroethane, a chemical that is used in making PVC that depletes ozone.

"This was a major surprise to the scientific community and we were keen to discover the cause of this sudden increase," said Oram. "We expected that the new emissions could be coming from the developing world, where industrialisation has been increasing rapidly. Our estimates suggest that China may be responsible for around 50-60 percent of current global emissions (of dichloromethane), with other Asian countries, including India, likely to be significant emitters as well."

China is world's largest producer of PVC.

Oram and his team regularly monitor the atmosphere for about 50 different ozone-depleting chemicals, and warn that if the newly discovered compounds continue to build up in the higher levels of the atmosphere, an amendment to the Montreal Protocol might be needed. To date, five such amendments have been enacted, most recently in 2016 when the Kigali amendment limits the use of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) , which were largely used as replacements for chlorofluorocarbons.

The following video details the results of the study, which has been published in the journal Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.

Source: European Geosciences Union

Video summary: Study reveals new threat to the ozone layer

And yet it appears that dichloromethane is not affecting the South Pole ozone hole in any measurable way. See this graph of NASA measurements of maximum ozone hole size at https://infogram.com/untitled-1gk92ex405w3m16. Unless a measurable correlation between dichloromethane and ozone hole size or ozone depletion in the atmosphere (not just in a laboratory) can be shown, it would be irresponsible to negotiate a treaty that may not actually protect the ozone layer. Here is a graph of annual ozone depletion as well: https://infogram.com/south-pole-annual-minimum-ozone-1g43mnqwjkw4mzy
Douglas Bennett Rogers
Polar stratospheric clouds are only found in the polar regions, mainly in Antarctica. No mechanism has been found for mid latitude ozone depletion.
Rustin Lee Haase
The always show photos of the ozone hole during winter at the south pole which is totally lame. Any ozone hole then would be irrelivant considering its dark all 24 hours of the day or nearly. Also, ozone is unstable and is created by sunlight so it is no wonder you see an ozone hole in the winter even if humans had never existed. I'd be more impressed if I saw November-April shots when the sun is actually shining down there and has actually had some time to have an effect.
The biggest source of ozone antagonists on the planet is methyl chloride released by phytoplankton. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.4319/lo.1995.40.1.0189/full
Matt Fletcher
Interesting video, shows images collected from the beginning of Aug'15 to the end of Sept'15. Wow! It's amazing were not all dead already with the trend set in this video. It's good to make predictions based off a data collected for 2 months 2 years ago.