Environment

It takes EVs just 2 years on the road to beat gas cars on emissions

It takes EVs just 2 years on the road to beat gas cars on emissions
After just two years on the road, electric vehicles (EV) actually start reducing their total carbon footprint compared to gas cars
After just two years on the road, electric vehicles (EV) actually start reducing their total carbon footprint compared to gas cars
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After just two years on the road, electric vehicles (EV) actually start reducing their total carbon footprint compared to gas cars
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After just two years on the road, electric vehicles (EV) actually start reducing their total carbon footprint compared to gas cars
The emissions from EVs are initially high, as that's attributed to the mining of minerals for their batteries and manufacturing them
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The emissions from EVs are initially high, as that's attributed to the mining of minerals for their batteries and manufacturing them
The study points out that over their lifetimes, the damages from emissions of an EV were far lower than that of a gas-powered car
3/3
The study points out that over their lifetimes, the damages from emissions of an EV were far lower than that of a gas-powered car
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A new study has looked into whether electric cars are really better for the environment than gas-powered cars. It turns out that this is indeed the case: after two years of use, EVs start reducing their total carbon footprint compared to gas cars.

That's from scientists at Duke University, who carried out research supported by the Albemarle Corporation – a North Carolina-based chemical manufacturing firm involved in the battery value chain for automakers. The peer-reviewed study has been published this week in the journal PLOS Climate.

Okay, so now we know where the findings are coming from. Let's look at what else the researchers observed. Their study confirms that building an EV starts off with about 30% higher CO2 emissions than a regular internal combustion engine (ICE) car. That can be attributed to largely to mining the lithium for the EV's battery, and manufacturing said battery.

The emissions from EVs are initially high, as that's attributed to the mining of minerals for their batteries and manufacturing them
The emissions from EVs are initially high, as that's attributed to the mining of minerals for their batteries and manufacturing them

But once you get this EV on the road, it begins to make up for its emissions pretty quickly, and wipes the slate clean after two years when compared to a gas car covering the same distance.

To arrive at this, the researchers used the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) – which helps examine how the world's energy, economy, and climate systems interact over long time periods – to evaluate air pollutant emissions across four scenarios of increasing EV adoption in the US through the year 2050. They looked at emissions from fuel production, battery manufacturing, vehicle assembly, and operation for both electric and gas-powered cars.

Beyond the reduction in CO2 emissions after the initial two years, as battery technologies improve over time, each additional kWh of an electric car's lithium-ion battery capacity is projected to lead to a reduction of about 485 lb (220 kg) of CO2 by 2030, and 280 lb (127 kg) of CO2 by the time 2050 rolls around.

The researchers also looked at the overall effects of both air pollution and climate change for both types of cars. They found the economic value of the damages attributable to gas-powered cars over their estimated lifetime of 18 years, amounted to 2 to 3.5 times that of EVs. That includes things like the social cost of healthcare for humans who suffer from conditions brought on by polluted air.

The study points out that over their lifetimes, the damages from emissions of an EV were far lower than that of a gas-powered car
The study points out that over their lifetimes, the damages from emissions of an EV were far lower than that of a gas-powered car

It's worth noting that these findings are derived from computer modeling and scenario simulation. The study also didn't account for a number of categories of emissions, including those associated with disposing or recycling components from both types of vehicles, and those that would be generated in the processing of setting up charging infrastructure for EVs.

Still, this does help inform the discourse around just how green EVs can be, and how we think about the benefits of moving away from gas-powered vehicles as technologies, infrastructure, and public policies in countries around the world continue to evolve.

Source: PLOS Climate

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7 comments
7 comments
Paul Govan
When will all media sources stop wifully focusing only on overall global CO2 emissions in the deliberately limited anti-green rage-igniting context of climate change?! You all wilfully ignore all the other major environmental AND geopolitical advantages of electric vehicles and the almost taboo many disadvantages and negatives that need to be exposed and emphasized in relation to gasoline and internal combustion engines - such as LOCAL not air pollution(and not just CO2 !) and noise pollution AND the many decades of US-led wars and coups for oil/petroleum
Uncle Anonymous
I just spent more than a month researching new vehicles in order to purchase an electric vehicle that would meet my needs. These requirements include the capacity to tow a small utility trailer and endure severe winter conditions while being left outside on a continuous basis. The cheapest EV I found that would do this was almost 25% more expensive than what I ended up with. My new vehicle is powered by a gasoline engine because I didn't want to take out a decade long mortgage. EV manufacturers must beat the cost of buying a conventional car without using subsidies.
paul314
Once there's a steady-state recycling economy for lithium batteries (as there is nowadays for lead-acid batteries and for most of the steel and aluminum in cars) the environmental costs due to mining will drop.
physics314
If you follow the link to the paper, you will find that every effort is made to inundate with jargon, without actually starting the key assumption, which is the carbon intensity of power generation (typically given in g CO2 per kWh). Tells you all that you need to know about the reliability of the results.
Captain Obvious
"Two years" is just the headline version of the report, which summarizes the large number of variables, thus the "jargon". Figure 8 shows that the most carbon emission over the car lifetime is due to electrical generation. It differs greatly if you are in Montana where they burn coal, or use your own solar panels. There have been other analyses which show the breakdown state by state. The TL:DR is that EVs produce less CO2. They won't solve global warming single handedly. But most people aren't so concerned, they like a quiet, fun car with lower running costs.
lon4
aside from the environmental aspect of less CO2 over time, perhaps the idea of lower operating cost per mile should be highlighted. Fuel to run a car adds up year after year. Fuel to run a power plant has longer term contracts which help control price per watt.
rdp
The research paper states: "In the initial first year, the BEVs emits 30% higher than the ICE vehicles. This difference can be explained due to the emission intensive lithium mining and battery manufacturing processes compared to fossil fuel production". Given that, it would be instructive to re-run the analysis modeling sodium-ion batteries rather than NMC111 batteries, since sodium-ion batteries don't contain lithium.