Transport

Europe backtracks on planned 2035 ICE car ban

Europe backtracks on planned 2035 ICE car ban
Europe was on track to phase out the sale of CO2-emitting cars a decade from now, but that hope's about to be dashed
Europe was on track to phase out the sale of CO2-emitting cars a decade from now, but that hope's about to be dashed
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Europe was on track to phase out the sale of CO2-emitting cars a decade from now, but that hope's about to be dashed
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Europe was on track to phase out the sale of CO2-emitting cars a decade from now, but that hope's about to be dashed
The new policy will allow for PHEVs, mild hybrids, and range extenders to continue to be sold across Europe beyond 2035
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The new policy will allow for PHEVs, mild hybrids, and range extenders to continue to be sold across Europe beyond 2035

Europe's lofty plan to phase out the sale of internal combustion engine (ICE) cars by 2035 – which was laid out back in 2022 after tense negotiations – now seems all but dead. The European Commission (EC) announced this week that it's dropping the ban on new gas-powered cars and vans a decade from now, owing to pressure from the continent's automotive industry.

The EU's executive branch is walking back this policy while claiming to remain committed to its goal of achieving climate neutrality by 2050; it maintains that the updates to its position are drawing from an "ambitious yet pragmatic policy framework," and that they allow for the region's auto industry to remain competitive in a fast-changing landscape that can benefit from greater flexibility.

The glaring change is that car manufacturers' new models must achieve a 90% tailpipe emissions reduction target from 2035 onwards. That's down from 100%, which would have seen the entire European industry shift to exclusively producing battery-electric vehicles.

The new policy will allow for PHEVs, mild hybrids, and range extenders to continue to be sold across Europe beyond 2035
The new policy will allow for PHEVs, mild hybrids, and range extenders to continue to be sold across Europe beyond 2035

This allows for plug-in hybrids (PHEVs), mild hybrids, range extenders, and internal combustion engine vehicles to remain viable beyond that year. The remaining 10% of emissions can be compensated for by using low-carbon steel made in the EU (up to 7% of the reference target), and from actual emissions savings from e-fuels and biofuels put on the market (up to 3% of the target).

Another clause allows automakers to benefit from more valuable credits issued against small electric cars made in the European Union that measure less than 13.7 ft (4.2 m) and cost between €15,000-€20,000 (US$17,587-$23,450). This is meant to incentivize the production of sensible, locally made electric vehicles (EV).

It's worth noting this new plan is currently still just a proposal, and it needs to be approved by the European Parliament. But it's likely to go through, and that'll be a win for the German and Italian automakers who lobbied for the relaxation of these policies. Volkswagen reported flagging EV demand earlier this year, pausing production at two of its German factories.

This is arguably more than a minor compromise. A report published in October showed that PHEVs emit nearly as much CO2 as ICE vehicles, and how the former's real-world emissions figures have gone up to nearly five times what's been recorded officially. So it's really quite a big step back.

The proposal also undercuts region-wide efforts that people and companies have already taken to adopt EVs and its supporting charging infrastructure. If gas-powered cars continue to be sold 10 years from now, it's likely that governments and energy agencies won't be inclined to invest as heavily in making their countries as EV-ready with chargers and appropriate power distribution measures as they would have if Europe went all-electric as it had originally planned.

Find the Automotive Package microsite with more details from the EC here.

Source: European Commission

9 comments
9 comments
TechGazer
I'm not sure why low-carbon steel should reduce emissions. It's weaker than higher-carbon steel, thus heavier, unless you use fancy alloying metals that probably result in a lot of extra emissions to mine and process. Burning more carbon out of cast iron does mean extra CO2, but is that significant?
One problem in getting actual reductions in emission is that the people making the decisions will retire or be dead before the effects of climate change would affect them, while they can enjoy spending industry payoffs today.
Username
How disappointing.
BeeCurious
This is a sad development. I would like to see New Atlas turn its back finally on fossil fuel. They’ve been doing much to celebrate it of late. The enthusiastic reporting on both climate science and green tech whilst drooling over V8 super cars is positively schitzophrenic.
Uncle Anonymous
This is understandable, and I'm surprised it didn't happen sooner.
veryken
Just more "I'm glad I've already lived my life on this Earth" from me. Already got my end-game laid out. I'm good. Sorry for the younger generation.
martinwinlow
As a confirmed sustainable energy adopter and supporter (they don't call me Electric Martin for nothing) I think this fairly mild change of heart from the EU is actually comparatively benign and actually quite sensible (for once). We are talking about only 10% of new vehicles potentially being internal combustion engine-powered from 2035, hardly a U-turn. Realistically, there are many niche markets where battery electric technology just isn't ideal and this change reflects that fact as well as easing the fairly cosmic mental strain that the idea of just not selling ICEVs any more will be having on Big Auto execs across Europe (bless 'em).
Meanwhile, car buyers (such as they will be in 2035 given that much of our personal transportation will by then be by autonomous electric taxi and also, hopefully, hugely improved public transport) will by 2035 have very much have figured out that driving an internal combustion engine vehicle come a very poor second-best to driving an a EV on practically every single metric except, possibly, for the lack of the 'vroom, vroom' thing... But hopefully we can all grow up enough to get over that, you know, in the interests of the environment.
aksdad
"Pressure from the car industry?" Inconvenient truth: the pressure came from consumers who couldn't afford or didn't want electric vehicles. Though they've grown in popularity mostly due to government subsidies, once the subsidies dissappeared and the real cost became apparent, sales tanked.
Venetian
The idea was absurd from the get go. Most modern cars' emissions are largely inconsequential however the one fact that the overlords consistently choose to censor is that car tires give off polluting elements regardless of whether gas powered or electric. In some studies more so than combustion engines. Climate alarmism needs to stop
ReservoirPup
@martinwinlow and BeeCurious: I'm with you 100%